Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
UPDATED: June 8, 2023
2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series
(L-R): Luthen Rael (Stellan Skarsgard) and Mon Mothma (Genevieve O’Reilly) in Lucasfilm’s ANDOR, exclusively on Disney+. ©2022 Lucasfilm Ltd. & TM. All Rights Reserved.
Lucasfilm Ltd.
Weekly Commentary: Tom Wambgans took the top spot at WayStar RoyCo, edging out the Roy kids. Did the satisfying finale lock it up for actor Matthew Macfadyen who the Emmy last year for “Succession?”
That depends primarily on internal competition from his co-star Nicholas Braun, who conducted a most satisfying slap on Tom’s face during the finale, and Alan Ruck, who had never been nominated.
Another “Succession” actor, Alexander Skarsgård, crossed the 50% mark which made him ineligible for guest actor, which he’s received recognition for previously. He will compete in supporting drama actors and could be a dark horse to win, especially given some of his big scenes alongside his other front-running counterparts, Kieran Culkin and Sarah Snook.
We also could see history made if both Skarsgård and his father, Stellan Skarsgård, are nominated, marking the first instance of a father and son competing against one another in the same category.
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Emmy predictions in all categories.
Emmy Nominations voting runs from June 15-26. The Primetime Emmy nominations will be announced on July 12. Check back every Thursday for the latest updates. All information is preliminary and is subject to change.
And the Predicted Nominees Are:
- John Lithgow — “The Old Man” (FX)
- Jonathan Pryce — “The Crown” (Netflix)
Other Top-Tier Possibilities
- Alan Ruck — “Succession” (HBO)
- Bradley Whitford — “The Handmaid’s Tale” (Hulu)
- Theo James — “The White Lotus” (HBO)
- Tom Hollander — “The White Lotus” (HBO)
- Max Minghella — “The Handmaid’s Tale” (Hulu)
- Ismael Cruz Córdova — “The Lord of the Rings: The Rings of Power” (Prime Video)
- Claes Bang — “Bad Sisters” (Apple TV+)
- Laz Alonso — “The Boys” (Prime Video)
- Elijah Wood — “Yellowjackets” (Showtime)
All Eligible Titles (Alphabetized by Network)**
** This list or category submission is not yet complete or confirmed and is subject to change.
2022 category winner: Matthew Macfadyen, “Succession” (HBO) — Season 3
Emmy Awards Predictions Categories
DRAMA SERIES | COMEDY SERIES | LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES | TV MOVIE | LEAD ACTOR (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTOR (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | LEAD ACTRESS (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTRESS (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | TALK SERIES | SCRIPTED VARIETY | GAME SHOW | DIRECTING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | WRITING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | REALITY (COMPETITION, STRUCTURED, UNSTRUCTURED, HOST)
Creative Arts and Other Emmy Categories
GUEST ACTOR (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTRESS (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTOR (COMEDY) | GUEST ACTRESS (COMEDY) | VOICE-OVER | SHORT FORM | DOCUMENTARY | MUSIC | ANIMATED |
About the Primetime Emmy Awards
The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes – Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans, and executives.
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