Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages are Davis’ assessment of the current standings of the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any film or performance. Like any organization or body that votes, each category is fluid and subject to change. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
LAST UPDATED: Feb. 7, 2023
2023 Oscars Predictions: Best Costume Design
ELVIS, Austin Butler as Elvis Presley, 2022. © Warner Bros. / courtesy Everett Collection
©Warner Bros/Courtesy Everett Collection
CATEGORY COMMENTARY: Five Oscar nominations later, Marvel Studios’ “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” has proven its strength on the awards circuit, despite missing out on a best picture nomination. Ruth Carter, who won the Oscar for the first entry, is again the favorite for her stunning thread creations following her Critics Choice win. If she wins, she’ll be the first Black woman to win more than one statuette in any category. This a stunning statistic considering how many artists have multiple Oscars.
Black men that have won more than one statuette include actors Denzel Washington (“Glory” and “Training Day”) and Mahershala Ali (“Moonlight” and “Green Book”) and sound mixers Willie D. Burton (“Bird” and “Dreamgirls”) and Russell Williams II (“Glory” and “Dances with Wolves”).
Carter’s competition seems to be Catherine Martin for “Elvis,” the most-nominated woman this year, with other mentions for production design and best picture. However, with four career wins for “Moulin Rouge!” (2001) and “The Great Gatsby” (2013), she’s a favorite of the Academy and could be a way to reward the musical biopic if it comes up short in best actor for Austin Butler.
Since 2010, the production and costume design categories have matched six times — “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom” (2020), “Black Panther” (2018), “Mad Max: Fury Road” (2015), “The Grand Budapest Hotel” (2014), “The Great Gatsby” and “Alice in Wonderland” (2010). The only films to win costume design without a production nod in that same timeframe were “Cruella” (2021), “Little Women” (2019) and “Phantom Thread” (2017).
Only “Elvis” and “Babylon” have nominations in both categories this year. So it seems to be a tight race to the finish line.
It’s also foolish to count out the most nominated film of the year, “Everything Everywhere All at Once,” whose costumes are integral to the story’s charm. I’ve found it to be the year’s most effective.
See the latest film predictions, in all 23 categories, in one place on Variety’s Oscars Collective. To see the ranked predictions in each category, visit Variety’s Oscars Hub.
See the 2022-2023 Awards Season calendar for all key dates and timelines.
ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:
2023 Academy Awards Predictions
BEST PICTURE | DIRECTOR | ACTOR | ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE | PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING | SOUND | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | INTERNATIONAL FEATURE | ANIMATED SHORT | DOCUMENTARY SHORT | LIVE ACTION SHORT
The 95th Oscars ceremony will be held at the Dolby Theatre and televised live on ABC on Sunday, March 12, 2023.
2022 category winner: “Cruella” (Walt Disney Pictures) – Jenny Beavan
About Variety Awards Circuit:
Variety’s unmatched coverage gives its readership unbeatable exposure in print and online and provides inside reports on all the contenders in this year’s awards season races. In addition to predictions, the section includes — Awards Circuit Column, a weekly analysis dissecting the trends and contenders in the race; Awards Circuit Podcast, a weekly series featuring interviews with the top contenders in the awards race and an expert roundtable discussion with Variety’s leading editors and columnists; Awards Circuit Predictions Video Series, a deep dive into specific categories, the top pundits.
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